VNINDEX 08/09/2026: WEAK DEMAND IN A RECOVERY SESSION

EASY STOCK · Technical Analysis Daily Report
Session: 08/09/2026 VN-Index: 1,830.44 (+8.80 / +0.48%) TA Score: 6/10

⏱ 30-SECOND SUMMARY

  • VN-Index recovers immediately after the sharp drop in the previous session: declined to 1,814.50 points at market open then rallied, closing at 1,830.44 points — near the day’s high, up 8.80 points.
  • Market breadth improves noticeably: the ratio of gainers to losers nears balance (0.97) after the previous session was dominated by decliners (0.37).
  • The Upthrust signal from yesterday has not received follow-through confirmation — the index holds above all stated support levels and does not break the low, but recovery volume is at the lowest in 7 recent sessions.
  • Three stocks stand out this time from different sectors (Banking, Agriculture, Paper Manufacturing): STB has the cleanest Breakout/VCP setup, BAF is consolidating tightly awaiting activation, DHC is recovering but volume remains weak.
STEP 1 VN-Index Context & Overall Market Trend

VN-Index closed the 08/09/2026 session at 1,830.44 points, up 8.80 points (+0.48%) from the previous session. Price action during the session was quite choppy: the index fluctuated, pulled back to 1,814.50 points, before buying pressure returned in late session, pushing the index to close near the day’s high.

MA20
1,784.6
MA50
1,784.3
MA150
1,796.2
MA200
1,786.3
RSI (14)
59.9
MACD Hist.
+8.31
ATR (14)
29.1 pts
52-Week Low/High
1,578.4 – 1,933.1

Easystock 2026 09 09 Scaled

The index is currently 16.0% above the 52-week low and 5.3% below the 52-week high. MA20 and MA50 are nearly overlapping (1,784.6 and 1,784.3) — showing that the 1,784-1,785 zone is becoming a notable technical support cluster if the market declines again. MA200 continues to trend upward; the long-term foundation (Stage 2) has not been affected by the volatility of the past 2 sessions.

In simple terms: If the 07/09 session was like a sudden cold breeze in summer, then the 08/09 session is like the wind subsiding — not exactly beautiful sunshine, but at least the “plants” (the index) were not knocked down further.

HOSE Market Breadth — Last 3 Sessions

Session% of stocks above MA20% of stocks above MA50% of stocks above MA200Gainers/LosersGainers/Losers Ratio
04/09/202645.0%38.4%26.4%129 / 1730.75
07/09/202636.2%34.4%25.0%84 / 2300.37
08/09/202639.5%35.7%25.7%151 / 1550.97
In simple terms: Going back to the football team example from yesterday — today the number of players “returning to form” has increased noticeably. The gainer/loser ratio is nearly even (151 gainers vs. 155 losers), rather than being dominated by losers nearly 3-to-1 like the previous session. The team is not entirely healthy yet but is breathing much easier than before.
In summary: The market regains balance after the strong swing in the previous session: breadth improves noticeably, the index holds above the long-term foundation. However, this is a sign of stabilization rather than proof of a new uptrend across the board.
STEP 2 Trend Template Filter (Mark Minervini)

Among 320 qualifying HOSE stocks (≥200 periods of data and average liquidity ≥50 million VND/day), score distribution remains nearly unchanged from the previous session:

Scoring 6-8/8 (Strong)
59 stocks (18%)
Scoring 3-5/8 (Transitional)
72 stocks (23%)
Scoring 0-2/8 (Weak)
189 stocks (59%)

The 18 stocks achieving the maximum 8/8 criteria, with VIC, HHP, VHM, PGI, SSB, DBT, HCM leading in RS Rating, are spread across various sectors including Banking (STB), Agriculture (BAF), and Paper Manufacturing (DHC) — these 3 are selected for detailed analysis below. The market structure by this filter remains nearly unchanged over a single session — reasonable since this is a mid-to-long-term indicator, less sensitive to 1-2 session fluctuations.

In summary: The group of stocks with solid long-term trend structure still comprises only about 1/5 of the market — this figure is stable across sessions, confirming that this is a structural characteristic rather than a one-off anomaly of 07/09 alone.
STEP 3 VSA/VPA (Volume Spread Analysis) Behavior — VN-Index
SessionRange (points)Close Position*Volumevs. 20-Session Avg.
04/0933.071.0%501.0tr~ average
07/0952.80% (at exact day low)498.0trBelow average
08/0916.8 (narrower than ATR)94.8% (near day high)403.1trLowest in 7 sessions (20-avg: 527.5tr)

*Close Position: 100% = closed at the day’s high, 0% = closed at the day’s low.

The 08/09 session carries the characteristics of a “Test” rather than a continuation of distribution: amplitude narrows significantly compared to the previous explosive session, the index probes downward in the morning session but finds no new selling pressure, then closes near the day’s high. However, trading volume is the lowest in the past 7 sessions — meaning this recovery has not been accompanied by strong capital inflow, appearing more like a natural “cooling off” than a confirmed Sign of Strength.

In simple terms: If yesterday the market was like an athlete losing breath at the finish line, today is like he got up and walked to the finish safely — but his pace remains slow, and the crowd cheering (volume) is even thinner than yesterday. This is a signal of “not broken but not quite healthy either”.
In summary: The strong selling pressure from 07/09 did not continue — the market successfully “tested” the lower zone in the session without breaking further. This is a positive structural signal, but low volume in the recovery session keeps the confidence level of the positive signal relatively low; additional session confirmation with real capital inflow is needed.
STEP 4 Wyckoff Phase Chart Structure — VN-Index
Re-examining the 07/09 hypothesis In the previous session’s report, we cautiously noted the hypothesis that VN-Index might be forming an Upthrust/distribution structure at the peak zone, with a reference monitoring zone of 1,785-1,800 points. The 08/09 session’s development shows that this hypothesis has not received follow-through confirmation: not only did the index not break below the stated support zone, it didn’t even reach it (the session low only touched 1,814.50, still above the 1,800 level mentioned), and market breadth improved noticeably. In other words, the Upthrust signal on 07/09 is likely being handled by the market as a typical shake-out within normal trading range, rather than the beginning of a distribution phase. However, since the 08/09 recovery volume remains at low levels, this “successful test” hypothesis is also not confirmed with certainty yet — an additional session with improved volume coupled with rising prices is needed to solidify it.

VN-Index continues to move within the wide range stretching from November 2025 (low 1,578.4) to present (high 1,933.1 in May 2026). The 08/09 session is a small pullback in the effort to re-test the old peak zone of 1,870-1,933 points — this effort remains unsuccessful so far but has not been rejected either.

In summary: Yesterday’s Upthrust warning has not yet materialized. The market is in a “wait and see” phase — the next session needs confirmation through volume to clarify whether this is a shake-out before further gains or just a technical bounce before deeper declines.
STEP 5 Setup Identification & Control Panel

VN-Index currently does not clearly fit into any of the 3 standard setups (Breakout/VCP, Bottom-Testing/Spring, or Distribution/Upthrust) — the market is in a transitional state, re-testing the peak zone after a strong single-session swing. The current technical signal leans slightly positive thanks to improved breadth and the index holding above the reference support zone, but volume is not convincing enough to assert firmly. Investors should continue monitoring volume developments over the next 1-2 sessions before drawing firmer conclusions.

6/10
TA Score — Neutral, slightly improved from previous session (5/10)
Market breadth recovery and index holding above reference support are positives, but low trading volume in the recovery session keeps the confidence level of positive signals relatively low.
CategoryContent
Reference support zone1,814 – 1,785 (08/09 session low & MA20/MA50 cluster)
Reference resistance zone1,862 – 1,933 (04/09 session high & 52-week high)
Wyckoff phasePeak zone re-test within wide trading range — Upthrust hypothesis not confirmed
TA Score6/10 — Neutral, slightly improved
📌 Featured Stocks per Quantitative Filter

On 08/09, 18 HOSE stocks achieved the maximum 8/8 Trend Template criteria, spread across multiple sectors. Instead of repeating familiar large-cap names, this time we select 3 stocks from different sectors, with good liquidity and noteworthy technical structure: STB (Banking), BAF (Agriculture – Livestock), DHC (Paper Manufacturing).

STB — Sacombank Breakout, healthy exhaust

Close: 76.1 (thousand VND) · TT Score: 8/8 · RS Rating: 92
MetricValue
MA structureMA50 73.1 > MA150 68.7 > MA200 64.8 — properly aligned
04/09 breakoutClosed near day high (96.6%), volume 5.48M shares — 1.7x 20-session average
Last 2 sessions (07-08/09)Minor pullback with contracted volume below average (2.14M and 1.87M)
RSI(14)57.3 · Distance to 52-week high (77.7): ~2%

The 04/09 session combines all characteristics of a volume-confirmed breakout. The two pullback sessions afterward occurred on low volume — a sign of healthy exhaust rather than active selling pressure. Technical signals are positive, matching Scenario A (Breakout/VCP) characteristics. Reference support zone: 74.5 – 75.5. Resistance zone: 77.7 (52-week high).

BAF — BAF Vietnam Agriculture Consolidating, not yet triggered

Close: 32.1 (thousand VND) · TT Score: 8/8 · RS Rating: 87
MetricValue
MA structureMA50 30.7 / MA150 30.1 / MA200 30.0 — three lines nearly touching
Range last 2 weeksProgressively tighter, ATR(14) only 0.54 — lowest among the 3 stocks
VolumeDeclining from 3.9M (21/08) to 1.1M shares (08/09)
RSI(14)59.1 · Distance to 52-week high (33.0): ~2.7%

Converging MA structure combined with progressively tighter range and declining volume are typical features of a VCP (compressed spring) model in formation. However, price has not broken above the 33.0 peak with a volume surge to confirm activation — currently only a stock worth monitoring, not a confirmed positive signal yet.

DHC — Dong Hai Ben Tre Recovering, volume remains weak

Close: 36.2 (thousand VND) · TT Score: 8/8 · RS Rating: 93
MetricValue
MA structureMA50 33.7 > MA150 32.6 > MA200 31.9 — properly aligned
04/09 sessionDeclined with spiking volume (632K shares — highest in 10 sessions)
08/09 sessionRecovery, closed near day high (90%) but volume now lowest in 10 sessions (156K shares)
RSI(14)59.3 · Distance to 52-week high (37.1): ~2.4%

DHC’s long-term structure remains solid, but the recent bounce is not accompanied by convincing volume — similar to the pattern seen in VN-Index itself. Neutral-positive signal; an additional session with rising price coupled with improved volume is needed for reinforcement. Reference support zone: 35.3 – 35.7. Resistance zone: 37.1 (52-week high).

In summary: STB has the cleanest setup among the three — the breakout has already been confirmed by volume and is undergoing healthy exhaust. BAF is a “compressed spring” model worth monitoring but not yet triggered. DHC is positive on structure but recovery volume is weak, needing additional proof. The featured stocks list will rotate across sessions to reflect various sector groups, not fixed to a few large-cap names.
📰 Market Developments Verified (Public Information)

The data below is compiled from public sources to cross-reference context and does not constitute and does not replace the technical analysis in the sections above.

Domestic media noted that VN-Index fluctuated in the morning session 08/09 before rallying into the close, ending up approximately 8.8 points around the 1,830 level. Consolidated volume on HOSE exceeded 14,000 billion VND. Source: Cafef (per Market Pulse), 08/09/2026.
Foreign investors maintained net selling status across the market, with approximately 385 billion VND in net outflows during the session, concentrated mainly in the banking sector group. Source: Cafef (per Market Pulse), 08/09/2026.

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